Skip to main content

The Rule of 25

Anyone who is remotely interested in FIRE would have come across this so-called Rule of 25.

In short, it is alleged that, in order to retire comfortably, one will need a nest egg amounting to 25 times annual liabilities.

E.g., if you require $4k a month to meet all your liabilities including mortgage, parent maintenance, health insurance, bills, transport and personal spend; for you to even contemplate hanging up your gloves, you will require a nest-egg of:

$4k x 12 x 25 = 1.2 million bucks.

But because I am Asian and Asians scoff at being average, we should raise our monthly liabilities by 50%.  Basically, if you want to retire comfortably, you will require

6k x 12 months x Rule of 25 =  1.8 million.

1.8  million? meh

Is 1.8 million a pipe dream? Probably yes for the vast majority of Singaporeans. The median income in Singapore is roughly 4k. Assuming one is able to save 50% of that (which is a massive assumption), the annual savings would be around $24k.

If you are an amazing investor capable of returning 8% on your invested capital annually, it would only take you a mere 26 years to hit 1.8 million and reach FIRE.

So fret not. If you are an average income earner, you would only need to spend 30 years of your life slaving away so that you can, well, stop working.

If it sounds bleak, it is because it is.  For anyone looking to retire by 40, a high income is unfortunately essential. Either that, or you strike TOTO. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Smoke, mirrors, bungalows and mistresses

People care way too much about a couple of colleagues fucking each other. The only people who should care this much are the aggrieved spouses and the family members who were hurt and embarrassed.  If you are not one of them, then shut the fuck up already. Who cares? The fact that they fucked or are still fucking doesn't affect you in the least bit. So quit the vomit-inducing moralizing.  But do you know what is detrimental to you, the hardworking taxpayer slogging 10-14 hours a day to make ends meet? 1)      That the Government apparently provides a special class of rental properties, one in which only a TINY TINY group of people may afford, in particular, those who can comfortably pay >20k a month in rent. Suffice to say, a real tiny and privileged bunch including people like, say, K Shanmugam and Vivian Balakrishnan. 2)      That the Government is happy to willy-nilly spend close to half a million tax dollars to make these properties "habitable".  Imagine renting out

As a Dividend Investor - I am having fun staying poor

Recently, there was a self-styled "master" who went around dissing dividend investing, saying things like REITS will chibaboom (his words not mine). Ironically, the master also invested into "growth stocks" like BABA and notably SE before its recent implosion.  Masterstrokes indeed. Dividend/income investors have borne the brunt of "have fun staying poor" taunts since the dawn of time.  Previously from the crypto bros and then from the growth investors. This is nothing new.  Every growth investor likes to talk about Tesla. But where are the ARK ETF investors? Where are the NIO bulls? Where are the BABA fanatics? Even a broken clock is right twice a day.   Good luck to those who retired on a portfolio of "growth stocks", hoping to spend 4% annually on an expected annualized portfolio growth rate of 10%.  Without dividends, one would have no choice but to liquidate part of the portfolio for meeting expenditures.  The damage done might never be reco

Is it finally the end of the tunnel for REITs

General Mood Market is expecting interest rates to hold after US CPI data came out on 14 November and pointed to softening prices across the board. Oil has also retreated nearly 20% since its recent peak in Sep 2023.  Are we finally reaching the end of the tunnel for battered REIT assets?  My gut tells me that we are at early stages of recovery although we may possibly still see a couple more rate hikes in 2024.  Nonetheless, barring further escalation of global military conflicts and an unmitigated collapse of the Chinese housing market, both of which seem unlikely but can never be completely ruled out, we may start to see a gradual recovery in DPU for REITs (as rental reversions go up but interest expenses stay constant or go down).    What I did in 2023 (Not to be construed as recommendations or investment advice.) Throughout 2023, I have continued to load up on REITs which (i feel) have:      i. Good sponsors (Capland, Frasers, Maple family)      ii. Comparatively lower gearing (be